The chances of a possible candidate from the Democratic party Joe Biden to win the US presidential election, scheduled for November 2020, much higher than the chances of the incumbent President Donald trump. This is stated in the forecast, razrabotannom edition of The Economist.
So, the probability of winning Biden in the electoral College is estimated at 90% (nine out of 10 chance), trump – 10% (one chance in 10).
As for the vote, according to the forecast, the Biden the probability of winning is 98%, trump – 2%.
At the moment, the model predicts victory for Biden in 25 States, trump 20.
The forecast of The Economist is updated every day, it generates a forecast based on data from national surveys and economic indicators.
The US presidential election to be held in November 2020. Main opponents will be the former us Vice-President Joe Biden and a President Donald trump, representing the Republican party.
As of July 22, for Biden is ready to vote 46% of registered voters. 38% of respondents stated that they intend to support the incumbent President, Republican Donald trump. This is evidenced by the results of a survey conducted by research company Ipsos and Reuters.